When Michael Carrick came in to guide HMS Manchester United into calmer waters he had one job.
It's a job that is now almost done. Mission nearly complete. United will be back in the Champions League next season - a quite extraordinary turnaround for a team that finished 15th last season. Sixth when Ruben Amorim was sacked five days in 2026 after letting rip in his post-Leeds interview, the promised land of Europe's elite seemed merely a pipedream. Three months on, and the Reds are odds on for a third placed finish in the Premier League.
Mission accomplished for Manchester United
Make no mistake: Carrick has done a fantastic job in interim charge, picking up 29 points from a possible 39. Draws at West Ham and Bournemouth and defeats to Newcastle and Leeds are the only blots on his copybook. Otherwise it has been wins all the way: Carrick has kept it simple, utilised his side's strengths and has been rewarded by a group of players who have more belief, clarity and confidence in themselves. The players like him, the players respect him and he has everyone pulling in the same direction. Us fans have enjoyed the ride, too.
United's powers-that-be will soon have a big decision to make when it comes to the man in the Old Trafford dugout. Omar Berrada, Jason Wilcox and Sir Jim Ratcliffe, watching from on high on Monday, will no doubt be pleased their mid-season decision looks to have paid off.
Mathematically, United need two points from Liverpool, Sunderland, Forest and Brighton to make certain. In reality, we are there and it could be sealed without kicking a ball if the Seagulls fail to beat Newcastle on Saturday.
Better the devil you know?
Carrick will be difficult to ignore when it comes to that decision: so much so, that getting rid of him is seen as a riskier option.
On the other hand, if we stick with him and it goes wrong next season, INEOS and co, will be derided for following the Ole Gunnar Solskjaer model. That said, the affable Norwegian remains the only post-Ferguson United manager to secure successive top three finishes.
What if Carrick is replaced by a more experienced manager who can't adapt to the rigours of one of the biggest jobs in world football? Then you're accused of trying to fix something that was never broken.
Based purely on the results he's overseen since he took charge in January, Carrick has to be firmly at the forefront. Expected to finish in the bottom half of the table, initial big game wins over City and Arsenal came with a caveat: this was a film we had seen before. Even under Amorim, our record in games like those were good - a case of United elevating their level and going toe-to-toe with our traditional rivals, raising our game for the big occasion.
But this has been more than merely new manager bounce: Carrick has nine wins in 13 games to climb to third place in the Premier League: had he come in earlier we'd be challenging for the title.
Carrick has done all he possibly can to get the permanent position. Now, is it up to Berrada and co.
The decision is not made easier by the knowledge PSG are confident the standout candidate in the market, Luis Enrique, will sign a new deal. Even if he doesn't, he will be very expensive. Julian Nagelsmann's contract does not expire until 2028 and Andoni Iraola is admired. Much like Thomas Frank, who has been linked with United in the past, managing a small, progressive Premier League side is a world away to dealing with one of the biggest.
No one knew what results Carrick would deliver when he was asked to take over until the end of the season. However, one thing the Reds powerbrokers were certain about was he wouldn't be swamped by the sheer size and scale of the Man Utd behemoth - having already played for us and his four games as caretaker in 2021.
Results not in question...but concerns remain
Whilst you cannot argue with Carrick's record since he took over, there are legitimate concerns too.
The style of play hasn't been good, with United having to grind out a string of ugly, single goal wins. We didn't play well against Everton and Chelsea or at times against Brentford. United laboured against Crystal Palace before Maxime Lacroix's red card. Fulham were only seen off in the 92nd minute. Leeds played us off the park, United only improved upon the injustice of a red card, Alex Scott ran through the midfield for Bournemouth in March. The football is fragmented, still sometimes frantic but at times piecemeal. But, on the other side of the coin, it is common sense, streetwise and is working. The ship is still watertight although holes are beginning to appear.
Of course, results are the most important currency at this stage of the season. In the immediate, no one will really care how the destination is reached. But, long term at least, there has to be substance too. United are still too easily bypassed in midfield, don't control games well and give up too many chances. United won't get away with that at Champions League level.
That is something Carrick, or whoever it is in charge, will need to work on going forward.
It comes down to personnel. Casemiro and Kobbie Mainoo are very good on the ball and at getting United moving. But off the ball, they are too slow and don't press aggressively. Carrick has acknowledged his squad's strengths - box defending, counter-attacking and set pieces - and utilised that effectively. That is good management: maximising what your team are good at and setting up to suit, whilst at the same time understanding its limits. The wingers do not tuck in and full-backs do not push on. United are still too narrow and don't progress the ball through areas that well.
It's common knowledge United's midfield is in need of an overhaul so with that, we hope, will come evolution to a new style.
For me personally: I think we thank Carrick for his time in charge, agree an amicable parting of ways in the summer and do all we can to get Enrique. Carrick is not the man for us: he has no experience, his style of play is basic and he's never managed in the Champions League before. We don't want another Liam Rosenior. Old Trafford is no place for a learner driver.
A huge summer awaits for Manchester United with big calls to make over both player and manager recruitment.
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